James O. — World Championships 2026 (2026-08-28) — Build odds

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Turn
+ effect draws
Prizes taken

→ 8 cards seen (7 hand + 1 drawn + 0 prizes)

Opening

8.34 %mulligan rate
0.091mean mulligans
17Basic Pokémon

By role

Role
Cards
In opening hand
Seen
Draw
12
79.94 %
84.48 %
Search
20
94.80 %
96.76 %
Gust
3
30.58 %
34.51 %
Switch
1
11.25 %
12.92 %
Free retreat
1
11.25 %
12.92 %
Recovery
2
21.41 %
24.38 %
Disruption
1
12.73 %
14.38 %

A card is listed under every role it plays, so a card with two roles appears twice and these rows add up to more than the deck.

20 of the 60 cards in this deck carry no role label yet, so a row here counts what has been curated and not what the deck plays.

Prize risk

Card
Copies
At least one prized
All copies unreachable
Air Balloon
1
10.00 %
10.00 %
Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex
1
10.00 %
10.00 %
Flutter Mane
1
10.00 %
10.00 %
Kieran
1
10.00 %
10.00 %
Legacy Energy
1
10.00 %
10.00 %

These are the 5 most at risk of this deck's 24 groups, a tie at the cut broken by name; the table below carries every group's prize columns. A prize is not lost — taking it puts the card in hand. The last column is the chance every copy is still in the prizes you have not taken.

By card

Card
Copies
In opening hand
At least one prized
All copies unreachable
Seen
Dhelmise
4
43.59 %
35.15 %
0.00 %
47.84 %
Lillie's Determination
4
38.83 %
35.15 %
0.00 %
43.45 %
Poké Pad
4
38.83 %
35.15 %
0.00 %
43.45 %
Shuppet
4
43.59 %
35.15 %
0.00 %
47.84 %
Telepathic Psychic Energy
4
38.83 %
35.15 %
0.00 %
43.45 %
Ultra Ball
4
38.83 %
35.15 %
0.00 %
43.45 %
Banette
3
30.58 %
27.52 %
0.06 %
34.51 %
Boss's Orders
3
30.58 %
27.52 %
0.06 %
34.51 %
Buddy-Buddy Poffin
3
30.58 %
27.52 %
0.06 %
34.51 %
Dunsparce
3
34.41 %
27.52 %
0.06 %
38.13 %
Gwynn
3
30.58 %
27.52 %
0.06 %
34.51 %
Prism Tower
3
30.58 %
27.52 %
0.06 %
34.51 %
Dudunsparce
2
21.41 %
19.15 %
0.85 %
24.38 %
Lillie's Clefairy ex
2
24.16 %
19.15 %
0.85 %
27.02 %
Night Stretcher
2
21.41 %
19.15 %
0.85 %
24.38 %
Pokégear 3.0
2
21.41 %
19.15 %
0.85 %
24.38 %
Poltchageist
2
24.16 %
19.15 %
0.85 %
27.02 %
Psychic Energy
2
21.41 %
19.15 %
0.85 %
24.38 %
Air Balloon
1
11.25 %
10.00 %
10.00 %
12.92 %
Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex
1
12.73 %
10.00 %
10.00 %
14.38 %
Flutter Mane
1
12.73 %
10.00 %
10.00 %
14.38 %
Kieran
1
11.25 %
10.00 %
10.00 %
12.92 %
Legacy Energy
1
11.25 %
10.00 %
10.00 %
12.92 %
Sinistcha
1
11.25 %
10.00 %
10.00 %
12.92 %

Combination

A group is an OR and the groups are an AND: "one of these, and one of those". Up to 4 groups, and a card can only be in one of them.

Group 1

What this page does not model

  • Draw effects are not modelled. The scenario controls are the only way draw enters this page — nothing infers that the deck plays Professor's Research, and the manual input is the admission.
  • Iono and Lillie's Determination are approximated upward. Drawing off the top is exactly "more cards in the prefix"; shuffling the hand back in and redrawing is not, because already-seen cards become drawable again. Professor's Research, which discards rather than shuffles, is exact.
  • "Seen" is not "held". A card reached and then discarded counts as seen, which matters most to the combination calculator: it answers "I have seen one of each", not "I hold them at the same time".
  • Opponent mulligans are not modelled. They hand out extra cards, and how many depends on the other deck.
  • The two prize columns answer a different question from every other number here. Accessibility is conditional on a keepable opening hand; prize risk is not, because where your copies sit is a fact about the deal that happened rather than about the deals that were thrown away. The hand and the prizes come off one deck, so the two measures really do differ, and by more than a rounding: a Basic Pokémon is printed high here and everything else low, and the gap widens with the copies and with the mulligan rate — 0.93 of a point for a 4-of Basic in a deck holding twelve of them, 3.34 in one holding six.

Every number here is exact and closed-form. Nothing is simulated and nothing is sampled.